Link: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.02711.pdf

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In this paper, we introduce the concept of Prior Activation Distribution (PAD) as a versatile and general technique to capture the typical activation patterns of hidden layer units of a Deep Neural Network used for classification tasks. We show that the combined neural activations of such a hidden layer have class-specific distributional properties, and then define multiple statistical measures to compute how far a test sample’s activations deviate from such distributions. Using a variety of benchmark datasets (including MNIST, CIFAR10, Fashion-MNIST & notMNIST), we show how such PAD-based measures can be used, independent of any training technique, to (a) derive fine-grained uncertainty estimates for inferences; (b) provide inferencing accuracy competitive with alternatives that require execution of the full pipeline, and (c) reliably isolate out-of-distribution test samples.